The current modeling makes it clear that our Shelter In Place order is making a difference. Without it, the modeling estimates 10,000 or more local residents would have required hospitalization, and that this number of severe cases would have overwhelmed our local healthcare system. Thank you for doing what you’re doing.
Now is not the time to relax, however. With our local peak caseload still ahead of us, we must all remain vigilant with Shelter In Place (SIP) and social distancing.
At the County, we are planning for our local surge in cases with Alternate Care Sites (ACS) for patients with less severe health issues. These additional beds will free up ICU beds for our most severe COVID-19 patients. More news on this in the days ahead.
We are also tracking the possibility of a second wave of infection after the SIP order is lifted. Our early modeling has shown a graph like this: